Friday, March 09, 2007

Giuliani's New Hampshire Problem

GreenMountainPolitics1 is firmly (FIRMLY!) in Halperin's Group #1 when it comes to Rudy Giuliani's chances of winning the Republican nomination.

We are shocked (SHOCKED!) that anyone in the Gang of 500 believes Rudy's candidacy is anything more than a confused ego trip which CAN ONLY result in better book sales for Hiz Honor and a redistribution of wealth from the super-rich (political donors) to the sorta-rich (political consultants).

The people who know Rudy Giuliani don't like him and the people that like Rudy Giuliani don't know him.

Think we're being funny and simplistic? Just ask Rudy's children.

But the most serious threat to a Giuliani candidacy is that Rudy is blissfully unaware of what it takes to win the Republican nomination.

Just look at what's happening on the ground in New Hampshire.

John DiStaso reported yesterday that Deb Vanderbeek, the Chief of Staff to former U.S. Representative Jeb Bradley, has signed up to help lead Mike Huckabee's NH effort (a great pick-up by the former southern fat boy by the way).

But Mike Huckabee? Not Rudy Giuliani?

Granite State insiders had considered Vanderbeek (one of the last true "A" campaign gets left in NH) a lock to go with Rudy. Hiz Honor has courted her for weeks. But she went with Huckabee instead.

Take a look at Rudy's campaign organization in NH. Or at least try to. His NH organization is non-existent (Wayne Semprini is a really nice guy and a good fundraiser but is NOT a worker bee).

We know this from personal observation and we hear it from every single field staffer that we interact with. On both sides of the aisle.

McCain and Romney staff are battling it out everyday on the ground at GOP meetings, BBQs, fundraisers, dinners and quilting bees. The two camps are snapping folks up left and right and have been for months. Soon there will be no one left.

But there is still no staff at NH events representing Hiz Honor. Ever.

The only buzz (THE ONLY BUZZ!) that we ever pick-up on Elm Street about Rudy's NH campaign is that Hiz Honor has some sort of screwed up employee pay system where middle and lower level staff aren't getting paid "Right. Right now."

The MSM might want to check into that (we know that some of you already have the story).

If Rudy Giuliani wants GreenMountainPolitics1 to take his candidacy seriously then Hiz Honor needs to start taking his own campaign more seriously.


If this is going on in NH, The First in The Nation, what's going on in the other states?

If John Weaver was getting ready to tee off on us we think that we would feel more comfortable if we had built a better lifeboat than the one that Rudy is currently riding in.

We're just saying.